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2024-12-14 01:16:39

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The game and media sectors moved up three boards in vision china, three boards in vision china, Fuchun, Reader Media, Zhewen Internet and Guangdong Media, and Kaiying Network, Shengguang Group and Tianlong Group followed suit.The central bank's open market today launched a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 205.1 billion yuan, and the operating interest rate was flat at 1.50%. Today, 190.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase expired, and the net investment on that day was 14.2 billion yuan.


The growth enterprise market index fell to 1%, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.65% and the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 0.93%. Securities, real estate and food consumption were among the top losers, with nearly 4,300 stocks falling in Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing.Hong Kong stock Jingtai Holdings plunged nearly 15%, and the company's 1.464 million restricted shares are expected to circulate freely from today.Shanxi Securities: Sora officially launched the AI video generation tool, which continued to iterate. Shanxi Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 10th, OpenAI officially launched Sora. Compared with the version released by OpenAI in February, the new Sora launched this time added Storyboard, Remix, Re-cut and other functions, which greatly improved the video re-creation ability and optimized the video generation speed and generation method. 2) Since the beginning of this year, domestic enterprises have begun to accelerate the research and development and iteration of AI video generation products, and the product capabilities have been continuously improved and the application scenarios have been continuously broadened. Sora was officially launched, and the video creation ability was significantly improved, and it began to change from a creative tool to a productivity tool. With the continuous iteration of AI video generation tools represented by Sora, its penetration into various application scenarios is expected to accelerate in the future. On the one hand, the application layer suggests focusing on creative, design, education and other multi-modal fields, especially video generation. On the other hand, the demand for computing power in video generation model is significantly higher than that in text, focusing on AI computing power related targets.


Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.Li Zaiming, leader of the opposition party in South Korea, said that impeaching Yin Xiyue is the best way to restore order. Thanks to the United States and its allies for supporting Korean democracy.According to the International Monetary Fund, the completion of the second project review will provide Jordan with about $131 million.

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